How every Premier League game should have finished, according to statistics

first_img Boxing Day fixtures: All nine Premier League games live on talkSPORT 12 12 Had they scored, as one might have expected, they would have got themselves an 4-3 victory, changing the complexion of their start to the Premier League season.As it happened, though, the poor finishing sees them just above the relegation zone. Every current Premier League club’s best kit from the past decade SORRY possible standings Did Mahrez just accidentally reveal Fernandinho is leaving Man City this summer? 12 How the Premier League table could change after the Boxing Day fixtures 12 England’s most successful clubs of the past decade, according to trophies won The average first-team salaries at every Premier League club in 2019 Expected goals result: Leicester City 0.2 – 1.0 Wolverhampton Wanderers 12 Real result: Tottenham 3-1 Fulham Real result: Cardiff City 0-0 Newcastle United Real result: Burnley 1-3 Watford 12 Arsenal found out the hard way you need to take every chance that comes your way in the Premier League.He and Henrikh Mkhitaryan missed two incredible chances for the Gunners in their 3-2 defeat, which all concerned will be rueing. revealed Real result: Manchester City 6-1 Huddersfield smart causal Most Popular Premier League News 12 gameday cracker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang looks devastated after missing a glorious chance against Chelsea. Guardiola-inspired tactics: Is this how Arsenal will line up under Arteta? 12 12 Expected goals result: Brighton 1.6 – 1.6 Manchester United Real result: Brighton 3-2 Manchester United Kenedy was gutted to have missed a penalty for NewcastleShould a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or come up against a poor defence.So, how did every team perform compared to their xG in the opening round of Premier League matches? Find out below thanks to shot-based expected goals statistics from…Expected goals result: Cardiff City 1.2 – 1.8 Newcastle United predicted Real result: Chelsea 3–2 Arsenal Real result: Everton 2-1 Southampton Expected goals result: West Ham 1.1 – 1.8 Bournemouth Last season we saw the rise of ‘expected goals’ (xG) with it becoming a household term thanks to Match of the Day following extensive use by the football analytics community.‘Expected goals’ is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an ‘expected goal’ value based on the difficulty of the attempt. Expected goals result: Manchester City 4.5 – 0.7 Huddersfield Expected goals result: Tottenham 3.1 – 1.3 Fulham New Arsenal boss Unai Emery feels the pressure on the touchline. changes 12 latest 12 Expected goals result: Chelsea 2.2 – 2.5 Arsenal Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the ‘expected goal’ value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shotThe ‘expected goal’ value of every shot in a game is used to calculate the ‘expected goals’ of a match. Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work out xG. Real result: West Ham 1-2 Bournemouth silverware How Everton could look in January under Ancelotti with new signings Expected goals result: Burnley 0.8 – 1.7 Watford 12 Real result: Leicester City 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers Liverpool news live: Klopp reveals when Minamino will play and issues injury update Sky Sports presenter apologises for remarks made during Neville’s racism discussion Expected goals result: Everton 1.9 – 1.8 Southampton whoops last_img read more